Opinion poll suggests Michael Healy-Rae to top Kerry poll
Published: Tuesday, 26th of November
Analysis carried out on: Tuesday, 26th of November
Source RTEThe results of a TG4/Ipsos B&A constituency poll for the five-seater Kerry constituency suggest Michael Healy-Rae will top the poll receiving a whopping 27% of the first preference vote putting him far ahead of any other candidate.
Sentiment Analysis by Party
The article mentions that Fianna Fáil's Norma Foley is polling at 14% and, with transfers from other Fianna Fáil candidates, is likely to retain her seat. Additionally, the combined Fianna Fáil vote is ahead of its 2020 tally, indicating a positive sentiment towards the party's performance in this constituency.
Fine Gael's candidate Billy O'Shea is polling at 14%, but the article notes that the Fine Gael vote appears to be down marginally in Kerry. This suggests a neutral sentiment, as the party is maintaining a presence but not showing significant gains.
Sinn Féin's candidates have a combined 15% in Kerry, which is not quite a quota. The article suggests that the party vote will be slightly lower this time, indicating a neutral sentiment as the party is holding its own but not making significant progress.
The Labour Party is performing poorly at 2% in the poll, which is a significant drop from its historical performance in Kerry. The language used indicates a strongly negative sentiment towards the party's current standing in the constituency.